We Need To Act On Income Volatility Now (2024)

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Almost 40 per cent of adult Canadians (over 10 million people) experienced moderate to high levels of income volatility over the past year. Approximately 3.3 million of these Canadians actually saw their monthly income fluctuate by 25 per cent or more.

By

Elizabeth Mulholland, ContributorChief Executive Officer of the national charity Prosper Canada and a member of Canada's National Steering Committee on Financial Literacy

Chief Executive Officer of the national charity Prosper Canada and a member of Canada's National Steering Committee on Financial Literacy

Canada's elected leaders have taken to referring to modest and middle-income households as "struggling Canadians," but they are often short on details when it comes to who is struggling and why.

Community organizations have been aware for some time of profound changes in the financial lives of Canadians -- more people cobbling together an income from multiple part-time and temporary jobs, more families working hard but having to borrow for food and rent, and more predatory fringe financial services proliferating in neighbourhoods.

We Need To Act On Income Volatility Now (1)

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On average, Canadian households now owe $1.67 for every dollar of income and save a meagre 5.8 per cent of our incomes, far below the threshold for financial stability and health.

So what is actually happening here?

U.S. research tells us that the rise in precarious work and resulting income volatility are likely driving these changes, but Canadian research on this question has been conspicuously absent -- until now.

On May 17 2017, TD released the first in-depth national survey to explore the nature and extent of income volatility and its impacts on the financial health of Canadians.

The story it tells is sobering.

Almost 40 per cent of adult Canadians (over 10 million people) experienced moderate to high levels of income volatility over the past year. Approximately 3.3 million of these Canadians actually saw their monthly income fluctuate by 25 per cent or more.

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The survey found that those affected were much more likely to experience poor overall financial health and to struggle, in particular, to plan and save. They were more likely to experience financial stress and to see themselves falling behind financially, and much less likely to feel any confidence in their financial future.

While some see financial education as the solution to this problem, it's no substitute for a stable and adequate income. Traditional financial education approaches to budgeting, planning and saving are also largely unhelpful when families cannot predict their income from one month to the next.

Financial education can help Canadians develop knowledge and skills to more effectively manage their money, but we need to adapt it to the new realities Canadians are facing and see it as an important complement to, not a substitute for, more systemic solutions aimed at building household financial stability and well-being.

We need to redesign employment and income supports for today's labour market, modernize our employment standards, and ensure that all Canadians have access to safe and affordable financial products and services that meet their needs.

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TD's survey findings suggest that income volatility may be the third leg of the 'income stool' in Canada, and should be seen -- like income poverty and income inequality -- as a key determinant of household and national financial health.

The federal government should start working immediately with key stakeholders to develop national measures and longitudinal research, as well as more targeted studies, to investigate this problem, because we need to get very serious, quickly, about finding solutions.

TD describes income volatility's impact on Canadians as pervasive and profound. When these words are used to describe financial instability, stress, and pessimism on a national scale, students of history sit up and take notice. Why? Because these are the conditions typically associated with declining national social cohesion and rising political instability and conflict.

Some solutions are complex and will take time and careful work. We should not rush these, but neither should we postpone them any longer. Others solutions are ready at hand. Free community tax clinics, benefit screening and assistance, and financial help centres in low and modest income communities have all been proven to improve financial outcomes and reduce financial stress. They also serve the Canadians most at risk of income volatility and who feel its effects most sharply.

Financial institutions can also play a major role by adopting innovative customer financial health metrics and using these to develop new strategies, products and services that improve customer financial health and their bottom line.

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Canadians understand that we are all in this great magic canoe we call Canada together, but that we are in danger of running aground. We need policy makers, financial institutions, employers and community leaders to get paddling -- faster and together -- to steer us to safer water and a future where every Canadian has the chance to prosper.

This blog is based on a speech delivered by Elizabeth Mulholland, CEO of the national charity Prosper Canada.

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We Need To Act On Income Volatility Now (2024)

FAQs

What does income volatility mean? ›

Income volatility is the amount of income or earnings that deviates from what might be expected to represent average income available to people.

What measures income volatility? ›

It can also be measured by the number of substantial spikes and dips in income over time. VOLATILITY OVER WHAT TIME PERIOD? Volatility is a measure that can look at change over any period of time. Researchers have historically analyzed income and consumption changes over decades or even lifetimes.

How does income volatility interact with American families' financial security? ›

Income volatility is a barrier to financial stability. More than half (55.6%) of working Americans 16 and older are paid hourly, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. At any time, reduced hours or fluctuating schedules could throw their finances into chaos.

Is volatility good or bad? ›

Whether volatility is good or bad depends on what kind of trader you are and what your risk appetite is. For long-term investors, volatility can spell trouble, but for day traders and options traders, volatility often equals trading opportunities.

How do you explain volatility? ›

What is volatility? Volatility is an investment term that describes when a market or security experiences periods of unpredictable, and sometimes sharp, price movements. People often think about volatility only when prices fall, however volatility can also refer to sudden price rises too.

What is the cause of financial volatility? ›

Factors such as economic conditions, geopolitical events, interest rates, and systemic financial crises contribute to systematic risk. Market volatility often increases during periods of heightened systemic risk.

What is the safest investment to make in the US economy? ›

Safe assets such as U.S. Treasury securities, high-yield savings accounts, money market funds, and certain types of bonds and annuities offer a lower risk investment option for those prioritizing capital preservation and steady, albeit generally lower, returns.

How does volatility affect economy? ›

If the financial markets are distressed or volatility is extremely high, then corporations may have to pay higher rates to raise capital. As a result, corporations will be less likely to hire new employees or undertake new capital investments.

What is earnings volatility? ›

Earnings volatility is a statistical concept that determines the associated risk and predicts the market price of a particular stock. Volatility is the risk related to different degrees of change in a security's value. It is directly correlated with the cost of capital.

What is the meaning of volatility in money? ›

Volatility is how much an investment or the stock market's value fluctuates over time. You can think of volatility in investing just as you would in other areas of your life. A person with a volatile personality is prone to big mood swings. Similarly, a volatile investment is prone to big swings in price.

What is a good volatility for a stock? ›

How Much Market Volatility Is Normal? Markets frequently encounter periods of heightened volatility. As an investor, you should plan on seeing volatility of about 15% from average returns during a given year.

Does higher volatility mean higher return? ›

Due to compounding effects, higher volatility leads to lower geometric average returns, especially lowering the returns of the most volatile stocks.

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