Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (2024)

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Updated on:

November 30th, 2023

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Demand for housing was incredibly strong through 2020 and 2021 as record-low mortgage rates and high personal savings helped create a homebuying frenzy. But times have changed quickly. While the housing market isn’t crashing, rising rates and persistently high home prices have caused mortgage demand to significantly diminish from where it stood at the beginning of 2022.

Nonetheless, Americans owe $12.14 trillion on their mortgages, and mortgage debt accounts for 70.2% of consumer debt in the U.S. Even with interest rates hovering above 7.00%, mortgage demand hasn’t disappeared, and Americans across the country are trying to navigate today’s challenging housing market. Because of this, understanding how Americans deal with their mortgages is fundamental to comprehending the state of American finances.

With that in mind, LendingTree analyzed various data sources to create a mortgage statistics overview. Read on to learn more about how much mortgage debt Americans have — and how they use and manage that debt.

  • Americans owe $12.14 trillion on 84.0 million mortgages. That comes to an average of $144,593 per person with a mortgage on their credit report. Mortgages represent 70.2% of consumer debt in the U.S.
  • Additionally, Americans owe $349 billion on 13.1 million home equity lines of credit (HELOCs). That equates to an average of $26,702 per account. Outstanding HELOC debt represents 2.0% of U.S. consumer debt.
  • The average interest rate for a 30-year, fixed mortgage in 2023 was 6.79%. Rates (updated through the week of Nov. 16) ranged from a low of 6.09% the week of Feb. 2 to a high of 7.79% the week of Oct. 26.
  • Americans originated $1.1 trillion in new mortgage debt in the first three quarters of 2023. 77.4% of that was issued to super-prime borrowers with credit scores of at least 720, while 3.6% was issued to subprime borrowers with scores below 620.
  • The average size of a home purchase mortgage obtained through the LendingTree platform in the 12 months ending in October 2023 was $224,398. Average loan sizes were highest in Hawaii ($464,994), the District of Columbia ($355,986) and Massachusetts ($309,490). They were lowest in West Virginia ($150,245), Iowa ($153,405) and Michigan ($160,707).
  • 1.2% of mortgages were seriously delinquent or in foreclosure as of August 2023. That means they’re 90 days or more past due. 4.6% of Federal Housing Administration (FHA) and 2.5% of Veterans Affairs (VA) loans were seriously delinquent or in foreclosure as of October 2022 (the latest data available).
  • There were 144,880 new foreclosures in the 12 months that ended on Sept. 30, 2023. 2.6% of mortgage accounts were at least 30 days past due and 1.2% were at least 90 days past due in August 2023. This represents year-over-year decreases of 7% and 20%, respectively.
  • In the second quarter of 2023, 2.0% of mortgages — or 1.1 million residential properties — were “underwater.” That means that the outstanding mortgage balance is greater than the estimated sale price of the home.
  • At the end of the second quarter of 2023, American households held $31.7 trillion, or 71.2% of their property value, in real estate equity. That’s down 1.9% from the second quarter of 2022, when Americans held $32.3 trillion in real estate equity.

Outstanding mortgages

The massive increase in outstanding mortgage debt has been driven by two things: more people with active mortgages and mortgages that are (generally) larger.

Record-low mortgage interest rates allowed many buyers to increase their purchase prices — or take advantage of cash-out refinances — while maintaining similar monthly payments to what was available in the recent past with smaller loan sizes.

Outstanding mortgages

Mortgage accounts* (millions)Mortgage balances ($ trillions)Average mortgage size per account
Q4 201283.23$8.03$96,516
Q4 201381.60$8.05$98,640
Q4 201481.43$8.17$100,332
Q4 201580.61$8.25$102,332
Q4 201679.90$8.48$106,133
Q4 201779.99$8.88$111,039
Q4 201879.35$9.12$114,984
Q4 201980.94$9.56$118,075
Q4 202080.60$10.04$124,603
Q4 202180.96$10.93$135,005
Q4 202283.42$11.92$142,927
Q3 202383.96$12.14$144,593

Source: LendingTree analysis of Federal Reserve Bank of New York data. Notes: *People with joint accounts are counted twice if a mortgage account appears on their credit report. 2023 data is through the third quarter.

Outstanding HELOCs

HELOC accounts* (millions)HELOC balances ($ trillions)Average HELOC size per account
Q4 201218.66$0.56$30,171
Q4 201317.71$0.53$29,870
Q4 201417.26$0.51$29,548
Q4 201516.68$0.49$29,197
Q4 201616.26$0.47$29,090
Q4 201715.68$0.44$28,316
Q4 201815.41$0.41$26,736
Q4 201914.99$0.39$26,017
Q4 202013.75$0.35$25,382
Q4 202112.75$0.32$24,941
Q4 202213.12$0.34$25,610
Q3 202313.07$0.35$26,702

Source: LendingTree analysis of Federal Reserve Bank of New York data. Notes: *People with joint accounts are counted twice if a HELOC account appears on their credit report. 2023 data is through the third quarter.

Mortgage interest rates for a 30-year, fixed loan peaked at 18.63% in 1981. The weekly average for that year was 16.64%. In fact, rates didn’t drop below 10.00% between November 1978 and April 1986.

Over the past 50 years, rates dropped below 5% for the first time in 2009 after the Federal Reserve aggressively lowered target rates to combat the Great Recession of 2007 to 2009. Rates dipped below 4% for the first time in late 2011 and below 3% for the first time in 2020.

Average mortgage rates reached their lowest level (2.65%) during the first week of 2021. The lowest weekly rate in the 30 years between 1972 and 2001 — 6.45% — occurred in November 2001. But weekly average mortgage rates were back above 7.00% in August 2023 for the first time since November 2022. The 7.79% average for the week of Oct. 26, 2023, was the highest in more than 20 years.

Here’s a look at historic mortgage rates dating to 1972:

Historic interest rates for 30-year conventional mortgages

YearAnnual weekly averageAnnual highAnnual low
19727.38%7.46%7.23%
19738.04%8.85%7.43%
19749.19%10.03%8.40%
19759.05%9.60%8.80%
19768.87%9.10%8.70%
19778.85%9.00%8.65%
19789.64%10.38%8.98%
197911.20%12.90%10.38%
198013.74%16.35%12.18%
198116.64%18.63%14.80%
198216.04%17.66%13.57%
198313.24%13.89%12.55%
198413.88%14.68%13.14%
198512.43%13.29%11.09%
198610.19%10.99%9.29%
198710.21%11.58%9.03%
198810.34%10.77%9.84%
198910.32%11.22%9.68%
199010.13%10.67%9.56%
19919.25%9.75%8.35%
19928.39%9.03%7.84%
19937.31%8.07%6.74%
19948.38%9.25%6.97%
19957.93%9.22%7.11%
19967.81%8.42%6.94%
19977.60%8.18%6.99%
19986.94%7.22%6.49%
19997.44%8.15%6.74%
20008.05%8.64%7.13%
20016.97%7.24%6.45%
20026.54%7.18%5.93%
20035.83%6.44%5.21%
20045.84%6.34%5.38%
20055.87%6.37%5.53%
20066.41%6.80%6.10%
20076.34%6.74%5.96%
20086.03%6.63%5.10%
20095.04%5.59%4.71%
20104.69%5.21%4.17%
20114.45%5.05%3.91%
20123.66%4.08%3.31%
20133.98%4.58%3.34%
20144.17%4.53%3.80%
20153.85%4.09%3.59%
20163.65%4.32%3.41%
20173.99%4.30%3.78%
20184.54%4.94%3.95%
20193.94%4.51%3.49%
20203.11%3.72%2.66%
20212.96%3.18%2.65%
20225.34%7.08%3.22%
20236.79%7.79%6.09%

Source: LendingTree analysis of Federal Reserve of St. Louis data. Note: 2023 data is as of the week of Nov. 16.

Mortgage originations

Mortgage originations dropped off dramatically as rates rose from their 2021 historic lows. In fact, mortgage originations totaled $2.75 trillion in 2022, compared with $4.51 trillion in 2021. Originations in 2023 are on pace to cut 2022’s number in half — $1.1 trillion in the first three quarters of this year, compared with $2.2 trillion the prior year.

At $4.51 trillion, 2021 saw the largest annual origination volume of the past 20 years. Historically low rates that year meant that borrowers could take out bigger loans for similar monthly payments, and it also drew many people to refinance their existing mortgages.

Origination volume was also elevated in the years leading up to the subprime mortgage financial crisis of 2007 to 2010, with subprime borrowers with credit scores below 620 taking up an unusually large share of the new debt. Subprime borrowing as a share of origination volume peaked in 2006 at 13.6%, while super-prime borrowers with scores of at least 720 held their smallest share that year (53.5%). In 2020 and 2021, subprime borrowers only comprised around 2% of the volume, while super-prime borrowers comprised around 84%.

Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (4)

Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (5)

The amount borrowed for home purchases varies greatly by location — and local home purchase prices.

The average amount borrowed through our platform to purchase a home — which excludes down payments and closing fees — ranged from $464,994 in Hawaii to $150,245 in West Virginia in the 12 months ending in October 2023.

How much people borrowed for home purchases via the LendingTree platform in the 12 months ending on Oct. 31, 2023

StateAverage mortgage sizeSize rank
Overall$224,398
Alabama$197,28935
Alaska$301,5245
Arizona$237,58719
Arkansas$183,25939
California$287,8659
Colorado$299,6196
Connecticut$226,07324
Delaware$246,84817
District of Columbia$355,9862
Florida$234,91921
Georgia$222,40926
Hawaii$464,9941
Idaho$250,90716
Illinois$190,79036
Indiana$161,58048
Iowa$153,40550
Kansas$177,41841
Kentucky$180,15140
Louisiana$167,42745
Maine$201,27033
Maryland$255,00915
Massachusetts$309,4903
Michigan$160,70749
Minnesota$223,07825
Mississippi$166,93946
Missouri$183,90538
Montana$244,88318
Nebraska$199,87534
Nevada$278,69311
New Hampshire$277,86712
New Jersey$262,10713
New Mexico$218,57830
New York$229,26823
North Carolina$234,64122
North Dakota$174,82044
Ohio$165,29747
Oklahoma$177,08842
Oregon$280,46810
Pennsylvania$175,42743
Rhode Island$288,8748
South Carolina$218,69229
South Dakota$220,20227
Tennessee$218,17531
Texas$235,86720
Utah$295,7047
Vermont$207,12932
Virginia$258,02714
Washington$308,0314
West Virginia$150,24551
Wisconsin$187,20237
Wyoming$219,17128

Source: Anonymized LendingTree data.

Meanwhile, the average purchase price for a home in the U.S. — including down payments — was dramatically higher than the $224,398 average mortgage size on our platform between November 2022 and October 2023. The average home price reached its historic high nationally in the fourth quarter of 2022, at $552,600, but it dropped to $513,400 in the third quarter of 2023.

Driven in part by lower mortgage rates, home prices rose dramatically after the start of the pandemic, when the national average home purchase price was $374,500. There was an increase of $178,100, or 47.6%, in the 2.5 years before the peak in the fourth quarter of 2022. Even with the decrease in prices, the average price was $138,900 higher in the third quarter of 2023, or 37.1% higher, than at the start of the pandemic.

Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (6)

Delinquencies and foreclosures

The percentage of mortgage debt that’s seriously delinquent — meaning 90 days or more past due — is near a historic low. However, it’s important to remember that this represents the percentage of outstanding debt, not the number of individual accounts.

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 0.5% of mortgage debt was at least 90 days late in September 2023. Based on the rate of seriously delinquent loans in August 2023 (the latest available data from CoreLogic), this roughly translated to 1.2% of individual loans.

As discussed, 2021 saw a huge surge in the total volume of dollars originated as mortgage debt, and a historically high proportion of that went to super-prime borrowers, which should minimize the amount of debt that becomes delinquent or goes into foreclosure.

However, there’s a point of concern for the future. The amount of mortgage debt that became 30 days overdue began to rise at the end of 2021 following drastic drop-offs during the pandemic. Most of these borrowers will catch up shortly, but every delinquency begins with one missed payment.

Mortgage Statistics: 2024 | LendingTree (7)

Number of new foreclosures

YearForeclosures
2012451,340
2013708,140
2014495,620
2015404,180
2016339,200
2017314,220
2018284,360
2019277,560
2020129,000
202138,040
2022122,140
2023110,600

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York/Equifax panel. Note: 2023 data is through the third quarter.

Sources

  • Anonymized LendingTree customer data
  • Federal Reserve
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York/Equifax panel
  • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
  • CoreLogic

Today's Mortgage Rates

  • 6.91%
  • 6.87%
  • 7.65%

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On this page

  • Latest mortgage statistics in 2024
  • Outstanding mortgages
  • Mortgage rates
  • Mortgage originations
  • Average mortgage size for home purchases
  • Sources

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FAQs

What is the prediction for mortgage rates in 2024? ›

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025. Here's where mortgage interest rates are headed for the rest of the year and how that will impact the housing market as a whole.

What is the mortgage delinquency rate in 2024? ›

30 Days or More Delinquent – National

In February 2024, 2.8% of mortgages were delinquent by at least 30 days or more including those in foreclosure. This represents a -0.2 percentage point decline in the overall delinquency rate compared with February 2023.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

If inflation falls significantly and the economy enters a deep recession, it is possible that mortgage rates could fall back to 3%. However, this scenario is considered unlikely by most economists.

Is 50% of take home pay too much for a mortgage? ›

While the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) reports that banks will qualify mortgage amounts that are up to 43% of a borrower's monthly income, you might not want to take on that much debt. "You want to make sure that your monthly mortgage is no more than 28% of your gross monthly income," says Reyes.

Will mortgage rates be lower in 2024? ›

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

The MBA's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.4% to 6.7% range throughout the rest of 2024, and Fannie Mae is forecasting the same. NAR believes rates will average 7.1% this quarter and fall to 6.5% by the end of 2024.

Will interest rates still be high in 2024? ›

In our baseline, slower growth and a weaker labor market help to rein in inflation while the economy throttles back but avoids stalling. Our baseline scenario has one Federal Reserve rate cut towards the end of the year. As a result, we expect mortgage rates to remain elevated through most of 2024.

How low will mortgage rates drop in 2025? ›

Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

How low will mortgage rates go in 2025? ›

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's model expects 5.8%, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates 5.5%.

What will interest rates look like in 5 years? ›

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

Can I afford a 300k house on a 60k salary? ›

An individual earning $60,000 a year may buy a home worth ranging from $180,000 to over $300,000. That's because your wage isn't the only factor that affects your house purchase budget. Your credit score, existing debts, mortgage rates, and a variety of other considerations must all be taken into account.

How much house can I afford if I make $70,000 a year? ›

As a rule of thumb, personal finance experts often recommend adhering to the 28/36 rule, which suggests spending no more than 28% of your gross household income on housing. For someone earning $70,000 a year, or about $5,800 a month, this means a housing expense of up to $1,624.

What is considered house poor? ›

“House poor” refers to the situation where a homeowner buys a home beyond their means, and their new home becomes more of a financial burden than a positive investment. Struggling to keep up with housing expenses doesn't leave a lot of room for fun or discretionary spending, either.

How high could mortgage rates go by 2025? ›

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's model expects 5.8%, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates 5.5%.

What will mortgage interest rates be in 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

Should I lock my mortgage rate today? ›

Once you find a rate that is an ideal fit for your budget, lock in the rate as soon as possible. There is no way to predict with certainty whether a rate will go up or down in the weeks or even months it sometimes takes to close your loan.

Will interest rates go down in 2024 for cars? ›

Auto loan rates are expected to stop rising and possibly start descending in 2024, but they'll likely remain elevated in comparison to recent years (alongside the broader interest rates environment).

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